Milan vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
FIO
2 - 3
ACM
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
ACM
1 - 1
ATL
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
ASC
0 - 1
ACM
26%
27%
47%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
ACM
1 - 0
ROM
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
AVE
1 - 0
ACM
17%
27%
56%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
JUV
1 - 1
BOL
78%
15%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
PRG
0 - 0
JUV
33%
29%
38%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
JUV
3 - 1
FCC
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
VER
0 - 3
JUV
27%
29%
44%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
JUV
2 - 1
LAZ
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |