Milan vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
GEN
1 - 0
ACM
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
TOR
5 - 0
ACM
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
ACM
1 - 0
TOR
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
LIV
3 - 1
ACM
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
ACM
0 - 3
INT
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
JUV
2 - 1
TOR
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
JUV
5 - 0
BAR
83%
10%
6%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
JUV
2 - 6
VIC
85%
9%
6%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
FIO
3 - 4
JUV
50%
22%
28%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
JUV
1 - 2
ROM
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |