Milan vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
BOL
1 - 0
ACM
69%
18%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ACM
0 - 2
NOV
65%
18%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ACM
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
BAR
2 - 0
ACM
36%
25%
38%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ACM
2 - 2
GEN
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
JUV
3 - 1
GEN
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
FIO
0 - 0
JUV
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
JUV
1 - 1
TOR
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
MOD
1 - 2
JUV
37%
25%
39%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
JUV
2 - 6
TRI
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |