Milan vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1936 |
ACM
1 - 0
ROM
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1936 |
GEN
0 - 1
ACM
56%
21%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1936 |
ACM
2 - 0
NOV
67%
18%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1936 |
BAR
2 - 0
ACM
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1936 |
ACM
0 - 0
TRI
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1936 |
NOV
0 - 2
JUV
15%
22%
63%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1936 |
JUV
3 - 1
SAM
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1936 |
BOL
1 - 1
JUV
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1936 |
JUV
5 - 1
ROM
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1936 |
JUV
2 - 2
GEN
73%
15%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |