Milan vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
LIV
0 - 0
ACM
30%
22%
48%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1930 |
ACM
0 - 2
GEN
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1930 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1930 |
TRI
2 - 2
ACM
24%
21%
55%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
ACM
3 - 0
LEO
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
JUV
4 - 1
PRO
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1930 |
JUV
3 - 1
LAZ
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1930 |
INT
2 - 0
JUV
67%
17%
16%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1930 |
JUV
3 - 1
PAD
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
GEN
2 - 0
JUV
46%
24%
31%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |