Champions League Semi-finals
Global 0-3
Milan vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
ACM
2 - 0
LAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
ACM
1 - 1
USC
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
38%
26%
36%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ACM
2 - 0
LEC
75%
17%
8%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 1
ACM
64%
20%
17%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
ROM
0 - 2
INT
28%
25%
47%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
VER
0 - 6
INT
13%
22%
65%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
INT
3 - 1
LAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
JUV
55%
24%
22%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EMP
0 - 3
INT
14%
22%
64%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |