Milan vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
LYO
2 - 1
ACM
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 5
ACM
4%
14%
81%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
ACM
5 - 1
ALC
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 28 | 60 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACM
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ACM
3 - 0
TOR
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
BYM
1 - 0
INT
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 4
INT
25%
26%
49%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
SVS
3 - 4
INT
22%
26%
53%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
INT
4 - 3
EMP
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
GEN
3 - 2
INT
43%
26%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |