Champions League Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Milan vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
ACM
2 - 0
COM
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
ROM
2 - 1
ACM
50%
25%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
ACM
3 - 2
AJA
53%
24%
23%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ACM
0 - 1
EMP
75%
17%
9%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
ACM
2 - 1
PRG
67%
20%
13%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
ATL
1 - 1
INT
24%
25%
52%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
INT
1 - 1
LAZ
55%
24%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
VCF
2 - 1
INT
50%
25%
25%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
BRE
0 - 1
INT
26%
25%
49%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
INT
0 - 1
ACM
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |