Milan vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
PAO
2 - 2
ACM
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
JUV
2 - 0
ACM
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1974 |
ACM
3 - 0
PAO
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
ACM
1 - 2
VIC
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
CAG
0 - 1
ACM
23%
27%
51%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
INT
3 - 1
LAZ
65%
22%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
USF
1 - 2
INT
23%
27%
51%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
INT
3 - 0
TOR
64%
23%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1974 |
INT
2 - 1
BOL
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
NAP
2 - 1
INT
31%
29%
40%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |