Milan vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
TRI
2 - 0
ACM
19%
23%
59%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1947 |
ACM
2 - 1
BOL
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
LIV
1 - 1
ACM
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
ACM
2 - 0
GEN
70%
16%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
FIO
2 - 1
ACM
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
INT
6 - 0
ASL
81%
12%
7%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1947 |
LAZ
1 - 0
INT
46%
24%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
INT
4 - 2
JUV
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
SAM
1 - 4
INT
44%
23%
34%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
INT
6 - 0
USA
70%
17%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |