Milan vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1946 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 0
ACM
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 0
ROM
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
TOR
3 - 0
ACM
81%
12%
8%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1946 |
TOR
1 - 0
INT
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1946 |
INT
2 - 1
NAP
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 2
INT
32%
25%
43%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
INT
1 - 0
JUV
57%
21%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
INT
6 - 2
LIV
66%
19%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |