Milan vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ACM
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
ACM
3 - 2
ACL
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
TOR
1 - 0
ACM
64%
19%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1941 |
ACM
2 - 2
TRI
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
VNZ
2 - 0
ACM
57%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
INT
0 - 2
ROM
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
GEN
6 - 1
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
INT
4 - 1
JUV
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1941 |
BOL
0 - 1
INT
60%
20%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
INT
5 - 1
NAP
74%
16%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |