Milan vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
NOV
2 - 0
ACM
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
ACM
4 - 0
NAP
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
MOD
2 - 2
ACM
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
ACM
0 - 0
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
ROM
3 - 1
ACM
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
INT
5 - 0
BAR
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
VNZ
1 - 0
INT
38%
24%
38%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
INT
1 - 0
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
NOV
1 - 0
INT
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
INT
4 - 0
LAZ
74%
16%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |