Milan vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ACM
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
ACM
3 - 1
NAP
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACM
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
ACM
5 - 1
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
ACL
1 - 1
ACM
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
INT
2 - 0
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
FIO
0 - 3
INT
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
INT
1 - 2
TRI
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
LIV
0 - 0
INT
27%
27%
46%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
INT
4 - 0
ASL
90%
6%
3%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |