Milan vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1931 |
JUV
2 - 0
ACM
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1931 |
ACM
1 - 1
USA
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ACM
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
ACM
1 - 1
FIO
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 2
ACM
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | -2 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1931 |
INT
6 - 1
NAP
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1931 |
BRE
0 - 2
INT
43%
26%
32%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
INT
1 - 1
TOR
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 1
INT
7%
14%
79%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
INT
2 - 1
PRO
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | -1 |