Milan vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ACM
48%
24%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
ACM
1 - 1
USA
72%
16%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
JUV
3 - 3
ACM
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
ACM
5 - 0
LIV
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
ACM
4 - 0
CAS
74%
15%
12%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
INT
3 - 0
TOR
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
BRE
0 - 0
INT
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
INT
6 - 1
LEO
79%
13%
9%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
CAS
1 - 0
INT
8%
14%
79%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
PRO
1 - 1
INT
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |