Champions League Last 16
Global 6-3
Milan vs IFK Norrköping analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
ACM
2 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1963 |
NOR
1 - 1
ACM
32%
24%
44%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
ACM
2 - 2
JUV
64%
19%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1963 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACM
56%
20%
24%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1963 |
SAN
4 - 2
ACM
55%
21%
25%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
IFK Norrköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1963 |
NOR
1 - 1
ACM
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
GÖT
6 - 0
NOR
49%
21%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
NOR
2 - 1
HEL
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1963 |
NOR
2 - 0
SDL
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
DJU
1 - 1
NOR
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |