Milan vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
ACM
1 - 2
INT
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
CAG
0 - 0
ACM
30%
27%
43%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
ACM
2 - 1
LAZ
43%
26%
32%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
BOL
2 - 3
ACM
40%
26%
34%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
ACM
4 - 1
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
VER
0 - 0
BOL
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
PRG
0 - 0
VER
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
VER
4 - 3
PAR
21%
26%
54%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
BAR
1 - 1
VER
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
VER
2 - 2
FIO
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |