Milan vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
SAM
1 - 1
ACM
23%
30%
47%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
ACM
1 - 0
PAL
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
NAP
0 - 0
ACM
38%
29%
33%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
VAR
0 - 0
ACM
23%
30%
47%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
ACM
1 - 0
TOR
74%
18%
9%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
VER
1 - 0
NAP
36%
30%
33%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
VER
2 - 1
VIC
40%
30%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
INT
4 - 1
VER
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
ATL
5 - 2
VER
54%
27%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
VER
0 - 0
CAG
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |