Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Milan vs Hapoel Tel Aviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
ACM
2 - 1
TOR
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2002 |
HAP
1 - 0
ACM
28%
28%
45%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
BOL
2 - 0
ACM
39%
26%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
ACM
0 - 1
INT
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
ACM
0 - 1
RJC
75%
17%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hapoel Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2002 |
HAP
1 - 0
ACM
28%
28%
45%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
MAC
3 - 0
HAP
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2002 |
HAP
2 - 0
BEI
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
PAR
1 - 2
HAP
63%
23%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2002 |
HAP
0 - 0
PAR
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |