Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 3-3
Milan vs Györ ETO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
ACM
0 - 0
ATL
71%
18%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
VIC
2 - 2
ACM
35%
29%
37%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1967 |
GYO
2 - 2
ACM
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
ACM
2 - 0
SAM
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1967 |
ACM
1 - 1
VAR
77%
15%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Györ ETO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1967 |
GYO
2 - 2
ACM
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1967 |
APO
0 - 4
GYO
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
GYO
5 - 0
APO
58%
20%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1967 |
SDL
2 - 0
GYO
69%
18%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1967 |
GYO
2 - 1
SDL
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |