Milan vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACM
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ACM
19%
23%
59%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
ACM
3 - 0
MES
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
MAN
1 - 4
ACM
20%
24%
57%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
PAL
1 - 3
ACM
14%
23%
64%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
LAZ
1 - 0
GEN
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
GEN
3 - 0
ROM
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
GEN
0 - 2
CAT
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
BOL
1 - 1
GEN
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1963 |
BRE
2 - 3
GEN
50%
24%
27%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |