Milan vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1963 |
ACM
5 - 1
DUN
78%
14%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACM
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
ACM
0 - 1
ROM
73%
16%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
MAN
1 - 3
ACM
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
ACM
0 - 0
JUV
60%
19%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ROM
1 - 0
GEN
79%
13%
8%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
GEN
0 - 0
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
GEN
2 - 1
ATL
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
PAL
0 - 0
GEN
39%
29%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1963 |
BAR
2 - 1
GEN
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |