Milan vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
ACM
4 - 2
SPA
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1958 |
ACM
4 - 0
MUD
57%
20%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
FIO
4 - 3
ACM
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1958 |
MUD
2 - 1
ACM
53%
21%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 0
VER
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
GEN
5 - 2
LAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
TOR
4 - 2
GEN
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
GEN
0 - 0
INT
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
VER
1 - 3
GEN
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
GEN
1 - 0
UDI
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |