Milan vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
FIO
1 - 0
ACM
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
ACM
1 - 3
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
ACM
4 - 0
MOD
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
TRI
1 - 1
ACM
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
ACM
3 - 0
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
BAR
0 - 1
GEN
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
GEN
3 - 0
FIO
77%
14%
10%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
GEN
1 - 0
TOR
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
MOD
1 - 4
GEN
32%
23%
45%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
GEN
1 - 0
TRI
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |