Milan vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
FIO
0 - 1
ACM
42%
25%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASL
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
ROM
3 - 1
ACM
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
ACM
0 - 0
TRI
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1938 |
ATL
0 - 0
ACM
41%
23%
35%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
GEN
1 - 3
BOL
55%
22%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
LIV
0 - 1
GEN
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
GEN
1 - 2
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
GEN
2 - 1
NAP
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
INT
0 - 0
GEN
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |