Milan vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
TOR
2 - 1
ACM
59%
21%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ACM
0 - 2
INT
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
VER
0 - 1
ACM
23%
26%
51%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ACM
1 - 0
BRE
69%
20%
12%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
UDI
1 - 0
ACM
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 1
SAM
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 2
FIO
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FIO
0 - 0
JUV
24%
25%
52%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
FIO
1 - 0
PRG
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
GEN
2 - 1
FIO
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |