Milan vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
INT
2 - 0
ACM
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
ACM
3 - 0
ASC
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
PRG
1 - 1
ACM
34%
29%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1979 |
TOR
0 - 1
ACM
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
ACM
2 - 1
JUV
47%
28%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
FIO
3 - 0
FCC
64%
23%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
FIO
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
FIO
2 - 0
PES
67%
22%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1979 |
ASC
1 - 0
FIO
42%
30%
29%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
TOR
1 - 1
FIO
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |