Milan vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1969 |
ACM
0 - 0
CEL
67%
18%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
PIS
0 - 1
ACM
19%
30%
51%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
ACM
3 - 0
VER
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
SAM
1 - 1
ACM
23%
30%
47%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
ACM
1 - 0
PAL
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAG
59%
25%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 1
FIO
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
FIO
0 - 0
ROM
66%
21%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 2
FIO
25%
28%
46%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1969 |
FIO
2 - 1
VST
62%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |