Milan vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
VER
4 - 3
ACM
22%
23%
56%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
ACM
1 - 1
ROM
79%
14%
8%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
ACM
2 - 0
GLA
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1957 |
GLA
1 - 4
ACM
47%
22%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
ACM
0 - 1
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
FIO
2 - 1
JUV
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
SPA
2 - 2
FIO
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
FIO
0 - 0
INT
56%
22%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
VER
0 - 1
FIO
28%
26%
47%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
FIO
2 - 1
TOR
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |