Milan vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1947 |
USA
4 - 1
ACM
29%
24%
47%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1947 |
ACM
4 - 2
BOL
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1947 |
ACM
0 - 0
LAZ
70%
17%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1947 |
GEN
0 - 2
ACM
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ACM
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1947 |
NAP
1 - 1
FIO
56%
22%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1947 |
FIO
3 - 3
ROM
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1947 |
FIO
0 - 4
TOR
29%
23%
47%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1947 |
LAZ
3 - 0
FIO
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
ATL
1 - 1
FIO
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |