Milan vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1941 |
ACM
0 - 2
LAZ
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
CAS
1 - 5
ACM
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
ACM
1 - 1
GEN
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
JUV
1 - 2
ACM
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
ACM
3 - 0
LAZ
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1941 |
ROM
4 - 1
FIO
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
FIO
5 - 3
JUV
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
FIO
1 - 0
ACL
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
FIO
5 - 0
JUV
48%
23%
28%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
LAZ
4 - 1
FIO
57%
22%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |