Milan vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
ACM
6 - 2
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
ACM
2 - 0
LEO
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
PAL
2 - 1
ACM
29%
22%
48%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
ACM
3 - 1
JUV
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
FIO
0 - 1
NAP
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 3
FIO
32%
24%
43%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
FIO
3 - 0
PAD
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
USA
3 - 1
FIO
40%
23%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
FIO
2 - 1
GEN
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |