Milan vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1932 |
LEO
2 - 1
ACM
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1932 |
ACM
4 - 2
GEN
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1932 |
INT
5 - 4
ACM
73%
15%
11%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1932 |
ACM
2 - 1
PAL
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1932 |
PRO
3 - 1
ACM
35%
24%
40%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1932 |
FIO
2 - 2
PAD
68%
16%
16%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1932 |
BOL
1 - 1
FIO
74%
14%
12%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1932 |
NAP
2 - 1
FIO
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1932 |
FIO
2 - 0
GEN
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1932 |
TRI
3 - 0
FIO
20%
20%
61%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |