Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 2
ACM
21%
29%
50%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ACM
2 - 1
SIE
82%
13%
5%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
BRE
0 - 0
ACM
23%
28%
50%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ACM
1 - 1
ROM
66%
20%
14%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
FCB
2 - 1
ACM
60%
23%
18%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
TAV
0 - 4
SHA
21%
25%
54%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2004 |
SHA
1 - 0
HOV
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
TAV
2 - 1
SHA
18%
24%
58%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 0
SHA
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
KRY
1 - 2
SHA
18%
24%
58%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |