Milan vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
JUV
1 - 1
ACM
56%
22%
22%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
ACM
2 - 2
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2003 |
JUV
0 - 0
ACM
57%
22%
22%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
PIA
4 - 2
ACM
27%
27%
47%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2003 |
ROM
1 - 4
ACM
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
EST
1 - 1
FCP
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 0
SPB
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
FCP
1 - 0
UDL
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
62%
20%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCP
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |