Milan vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
ACM
4 - 1
VER
79%
16%
6%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
ACM
2 - 0
EMP
78%
16%
6%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
EMP
1 - 1
ACM
16%
28%
56%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
ACM
1 - 2
FIO
63%
22%
15%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
ACM
7 - 1
USC
73%
19%
9%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
UDL
0 - 3
FCP
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
FCP
2 - 2
VST
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
FCP
1 - 0
BEL
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
EST
1 - 1
FCP
22%
27%
51%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |