Milan vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
BOL
0 - 1
ACM
31%
28%
41%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1979 |
ROM
2 - 2
ACM
37%
28%
36%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
ACM
0 - 0
UDI
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
ACM
1 - 2
NAP
66%
22%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
ACM
0 - 4
ROM
72%
19%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
FCC
1 - 1
PES
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
TOR
0 - 0
FCC
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
FCC
2 - 1
LAZ
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
FCC
2 - 2
ROM
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
FIO
3 - 0
FCC
64%
23%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |