Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 3-1
Milan vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
16%
5.6%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
EMP
1 - 1
ACM
16%
28%
56%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
ACM
1 - 2
FIO
63%
22%
15%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
ACM
7 - 1
USC
73%
19%
9%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
SAM
3 - 0
ACM
43%
26%
31%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
ACM
3 - 1
FIO
62%
23%
15%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
EMP
1 - 1
ACM
16%
28%
56%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
EMP
1 - 0
REG
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
FIO
2 - 0
EMP
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
EMP
1 - 2
BAR
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
EMP
1 - 1
BAR
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |