Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 1-2
Milan vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
ACM
2 - 2
SAM
54%
26%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
AVE
1 - 1
ACM
36%
30%
35%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
ACM
1 - 0
FIO
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
LEC
0 - 2
ACM
36%
30%
34%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
ACM
0 - 0
BAR
78%
16%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 0
BOL
54%
29%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
PAL
1 - 1
EMP
47%
30%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 0
SSS
54%
29%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
EMP
2 - 2
CES
49%
30%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
CAG
2 - 0
EMP
42%
33%
25%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |