Champions League Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Milan vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACM
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
ACM
0 - 1
ROM
73%
16%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
MAN
1 - 3
ACM
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
ACM
0 - 0
JUV
60%
19%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
ACM
4 - 0
MOD
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1963 |
MHE
2 - 1
DUN
40%
23%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1963 |
DUN
1 - 2
DUN
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1963 |
DUN
5 - 1
STM
74%
15%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1963 |
DUN
1 - 3
HIB
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1963 |
QOS
1 - 0
DUN
24%
23%
53%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |