Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 6-1
Milan vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
ACM
4 - 0
UDI
58%
22%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
52%
24%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
ACM
1 - 0
PIA
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
REG
1 - 2
ACM
21%
27%
52%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
TOR
2 - 2
ACM
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
RIJ
0 - 1
DZG
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
DZG
6 - 1
HNK
78%
14%
7%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
DZG
3 - 1
HKS
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2000 |
OSI
1 - 4
DZG
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
DZG
2 - 0
RIJ
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |