Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Milan vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
12%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1973 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1973 |
ACM
2 - 0
NAP
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1973 |
CAG
0 - 1
ACM
34%
26%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1973 |
ACM
1 - 0
ATL
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
NAP
0 - 2
ACM
24%
27%
49%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
RAP
0 - 0
DZG
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
DZG
2 - 2
RAP
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
BVR
1 - 2
DZG
56%
22%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
DZG
6 - 1
BVR
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1970 |
TWE
1 - 0
DZG
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |