Milan vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
CES
1 - 0
ACM
22%
29%
49%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
ACM
0 - 0
SAM
50%
27%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
TOR
2 - 2
ACM
38%
29%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
ACM
0 - 1
INT
50%
27%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
ACM
2 - 0
LEC
76%
17%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
COM
1 - 1
PIS
51%
28%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
ATL
1 - 1
COM
59%
25%
16%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
COM
3 - 2
FIO
35%
30%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
ROM
1 - 0
COM
74%
18%
8%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
COM
0 - 1
ASC
44%
29%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |