Milan vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
3.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
PRO
2 - 2
ACM
20%
21%
59%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
ACM
0 - 0
UDI
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
ASL
0 - 5
ACM
19%
21%
60%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
ACM
6 - 2
NOV
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
FIO
1 - 0
ACM
24%
22%
54%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
COM
1 - 3
SPA
52%
23%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
TRI
2 - 0
COM
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
COM
3 - 2
PAD
57%
21%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
TOR
4 - 0
COM
72%
15%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
COM
2 - 0
JUV
26%
22%
53%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |