Milan vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
MUD
4 - 0
ACM
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ROM
0 - 0
ACM
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ACM
3 - 1
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
ACM
37%
26%
37%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 2
ACM
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 0
CHI
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 1
CAG
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 1
CHI
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 1
SIE
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 0
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |