Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Milan vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
BOL
0 - 2
ACM
35%
26%
39%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
ACM
0 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
ACM
5 - 1
ANC
77%
16%
7%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
COM
1 - 2
ACM
17%
25%
57%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
BVB
0 - 1
ACM
41%
27%
32%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ROM
0 - 1
CHI
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 0
COM
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 0
PIA
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
PIA
0 - 3
CHI
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 0
BOL
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |