Milan vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
BAT
1 - 1
ACM
24%
26%
51%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 3
ACM
41%
26%
33%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
ACM
4 - 1
PAR
70%
19%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
3 - 4
ACM
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 0
BAT
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 1
NAP
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CAT
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 2
CAT
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 1
INT
17%
23%
60%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 3
CAT
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |