Milan vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
GEN
0 - 0
ACM
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
ACM
1 - 0
VAR
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
BAR
1 - 1
ACM
23%
28%
49%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
ACM
0 - 0
PES
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
ASS
1 - 2
ACM
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
CAT
2 - 2
LAZ
30%
34%
37%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
USF
0 - 0
CAT
67%
22%
11%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
CAT
1 - 1
RIM
58%
28%
14%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
CAT
1 - 0
VIC
38%
30%
33%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
PES
1 - 0
CAT
66%
23%
12%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |