Milan vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 0
VOJ
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
VIC
0 - 3
ACM
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 0
VIC
82%
12%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1961 |
SPA
1 - 2
ACM
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
ACM
1 - 1
LEC
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
CAT
0 - 0
SPA
48%
25%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
CAT
2 - 0
INT
27%
25%
49%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +2 |
| 30 May. 1961 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAT
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
PAD
2 - 1
CAT
68%
19%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
CAT
1 - 0
NAP
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |